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Boeing expects the Middle Eastern Region fleet to surpass 3,000+ aircraft by 2041

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Boeing, the US aerospace giant, forecasted the Middle East market for the next 20 years, anticipating hundreds of planes to join the sector to fulfill passenger demand, requiring 202,000 new aviation personnel, including 53,000 pilots, 50,000 technicians, and 99,000 cabin crew members, in the next 20 years. The plane manufacturer also expects Middle Eastern carriers to beat many others in terms of expansion during the next two decades.

Image credits: Huy Tran Do

Middle Eastern airlines have effectively navigated the pandemic’s obstacles by altering their business strategies and improving cargo utilization to optimize profitability. According to Boeing, the region’s fleet will rise to 3,400 planes in the future to meet fast-growing passenger and freight demand.

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“The Middle East region, a popular connection point for international travelers and trade, is also growing as a starting point and destination for business and leisure passengers. The region will continue to require a versatile fleet that meets the demands of airline and air-cargo business models”.  Randy Heisey, Boeing managing director of Commercial Marketing for the Middle East and Africa and Russia and Central Asia Regions.

Randy Heisey, Boeing managing director of Commercial Marketing for the Middle East and Africa and Russia and Central Asia Regions.
Image Credit: Virendra Saklani/Gulf News

Middle Eastern airlines will require 2,980 new planes worth $765 billion to service passengers and commerce. More than two-thirds of these deliveries will support expansion. At the same time, the remaining one-third will replace older planes with more fuel-efficient models like the Boeing 737 MAX, 787 Dreamliner, and 777X.

Image Source: Boeing
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Remarkably, air cargo traffic flown by Middle Eastern airlines has increased significantly in recent years; the area is home to two of the world’s top five cargo carriers by tonnage. The Middle East freighter fleet is expected to grow to 170 by 2041, more than tripling the pre-pandemic fleet.

The Middle East Commercial Market Outlook (CMO) for 2022 includes the following predictions through 2041:

  • Passenger traffic is expected to grow at 4% annually.
  • Passenger widebody aircraft demand continues to be robust, with 1,290 deliveries supporting a growing network of international routes.
  • The Middle East single-aisle market will more than double, reaching 1,650 jets to serve regional and international destinations.
  • Demand for aftermarket commercial services, including maintenance and repair valued at $275 billion. 
  • The region also will require 202,000 new aviation personnel, including 53,000 pilots, 50,000 technicians, and 99,000 cabin crew members, in the next 20 years, according to Boeing’s 2022 Pilot and Technician Outlook.
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What is Boeing’s Commercial Market Outlook (CMO)?

Image Source: Soma Kitamura

Boeing’s Commercial Market Outlook (CMO) is a long-term prediction of commercial aviation traffic and aircraft demand, including global and regional analyses. Since 1961, the CMO has been the industry standard for insights into the future of air travel, providing helpful information to airlines, suppliers, and the aviation community yearly.

The 2022 CMO represents the worldwide market’s recovery, as predicted by Boeing in 2020. Domestic air travel has recovered strongly in several regions, with international traffic gaining traction as restrictions loosen, and is expected to return to pre-pandemic levels by 2023 to 2024.

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2022 CMO forecast highlights include:

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  • Boeing’s market dynamics research demonstrates the industry’s resiliency. Many domestic markets largely or entirely recovered from pandemic damage while foreign traffic gains speed as constraints lift.
  • According to the CMO, the market for new airplane deliveries will be worth $7.2 trillion by 2041, with the global fleet expanding by 80% from pre-pandemic levels in 2019. The business services sector is worth $3.6 trillion to accommodate this need.
  • Approximately half of passenger jet deliveries will replace today’s models, improving the global fleet’s fuel efficiency and sustainability.
  • Continuing their strong growth story, Asian markets account for roughly 40% of long-term global demand for new airplanes. Europe and North America each account for just over 20% of demand, with 15% of deliveries going to other regions.
  • The CMO also predicts continued robust demand for dedicated freighters to support global supply chains and growing express networks. Carriers will need 2,800 additional freighters overall, including 940 new widebody models in addition to converted narrow-body and widebody freighters over the forecast period.

The complete CMO forecast is available at:

https://www.boeing.com/commercial/market/commercial-market-outlook/index.page

Or you can download it from here:

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Youssef is the president and founder of Aviation for Aviators; in addition to his role as Chief-in-Editor of the platform's website, Youssef is currently pursuing an engineering degree at Nile University in Egypt. With his unique blend of passion, expertise, and entrepreneurial spirit, Youssef is passionate about combining these traits with aviation to provide a unique resource for aviation enthusiasts and professionals alike.

Analysis

IATA’s Alarm: Airline Profit Margins Remain Alarmingly Thin

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Photo: Reuters/Brian Synder

IATA’s Director General, Willie Walsh, recently gave a wake-up call to the aviation industry about the precarious state of airline profit margins. His revelations were part of a broader discussion at IATA’s 79th Annual General Meeting and World Air Transport Summit, held in Istanbul, Türkiye.

The Current Profit Situation

This year, the aviation industry anticipates an astounding $803 billion in revenues. However, a shocking revelation is that only $9.8 billion of this colossal figure will translate into net profit. This means that, on average, the profit per passenger is a meager $2.25, an amount that can’t even cover the cost of a subway ticket in New York City. “Clearly, that level of profitability is not sustainable,” warned Walsh. Yet, he acknowledged the powerful recovery velocity, comparing it favorably to the $76 loss per passenger in 2020.

Airline Profit Margins
IATA

Identifying Major Hurdles

Walsh went on to elaborate the significant hurdles facing the industry. These include rising inflation, increasing operating costs, and enduring labor shortages. Along with these fundamental challenges, the industry is wrestling with specific pressures from OEM suppliers and oil companies. Walsh’s critique of OEM suppliers centered around their slow response to supply chain disruptions, which are both escalating costs and limiting aircraft deployment. “Airlines are beyond frustrated. A solution must be found,” Walsh expressed, reflecting the mounting exasperation within the industry.

Alongside the supply chain predicaments, Walsh pointed fingers at oil companies. He accused them of thriving at the airlines’ expense, noting that the crack spread for jet fuel was at record highs for most of 2022.

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Airline Profit Margins
Photo by Ahmed Muntasir

Walsh also didn’t hold back in his criticism of certain airports for shifting their operational inefficiency costs onto airlines. He singled out Schiphol Airport for its egregious 37% charges hike spread over three years—with a 12% increase this year alone. He also flagged concerns around South African airports and ATC’s shocking 63% charges increase proposal.

Despite the enormity of these challenges, Walsh applauded the airline industry for maintaining profitability. He ended his speech with a powerful call to arms for increased accountability and stricter economic regulation for monopoly suppliers. In light of his critique, calls for lighter regulation should be dismissed outright.

READ Also: Riyadh Air Reveals New Livery and Receives IATA Code RX

The question that remains is: How can airlines and other stakeholders address these challenges to strengthen the airline profit margins? Your thoughts and opinions matter, share them in the comments section below.

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Riyadh Air Reveals New Livery and Receives IATA Code RX

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Riyadh Air

Saudi Arabia’s newest airline, Riyadh Air, continues to make significant strides since its launch. Not only has the airline been assigned the Airline Designator Code RX by the International Air Transport Association (IATA), marking its official engagement with the global airline community, but it has also recently unveiled the first of its two livery designs. In this article, we delve into the exciting reveal of Riyadh Air’s new livery and the airline’s acquisition of the IATA Code RX.

This design, a perfect blend of cutting-edge technology and timeless elegance, embodies the airline’s vision for the future of flight. These developments underscore Riyadh Air’s commitment to innovation and sophistication in its operations, promising an exciting future for the airline and its passengers.

Riyadh Air Acquires IATA Designator Code

The IATA code was acquired during the 79th IATA Annual General Meeting (AGM) and World Air Transport Summit, which took place in Istanbul on June 4, 2023. Tony Douglas, the airline’s chief executive, expressed his enthusiasm for this development, stating that the code would be visible on “every touchpoint that our guests see as they take flight with us.” He further added that the Riyadh Air team has been actively engaging with industry stakeholders and experts to discuss safe, efficient, and technologically advanced topics in the global air travel industry. The code reflects the airline’s ambition to be a digitally led airline, having the connection of innovation and state-of-the-art technology.

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IATA codes play a significant role in the travel industry and the efficient organization of air transportation for both passengers and cargo. These codes are essential for airline identification, international bookings, and the smooth operation of ground service teams at airports.

Unveiling of Riyadh Air’s Livery Design

In a recent development, Riyadh Air has unveiled the first of its two livery designs. The design is a perfect blend of cutting-edge technology and timeless elegance, embodying the airline’s vision for the future of flight. This reveal further emphasizes Riyadh Air’s commitment to innovation and sophistication in its operations, promising an exciting future for the airline and its passengers.

Riyadh Air’s Strategic Positioning and Future Plans

Riyadh Air, which was officially unveiled in March 2023, is a part of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 investment plan. The airline was established to leverage the country’s strategic location as a hub connecting Asia, Africa, and Europe, promoting growth and economic diversification in Saudi Arabia. Owned by the Public Investment Fund of the nation, Riyadh Air has outlined its plans to begin commercial operations in early 2025. The airline aims to establish connectivity between Saudi Arabia and 100 destinations by 2030.

In its ambitious plans, Riyadh Air is expected to add $20 billion to the country’s non-oil GDP growth and produce over 200,000 jobs both directly and indirectly. The airline’s career webpage has already attracted job applications from over 300,000 applicants across 182 countries worldwide.

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Potential Aircraft Orders and Future Fleet

There are also speculations about a potential hefty order for 737 MAX aircraft. Although Airbus is being considered a potential supplier for a portion of the required single-aisle aircraft, namely the A321neo models, Boeing appears to have an advantage. This news comes just two months after Riyadh Air announced a major order for 72 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner widebodies. Previous reports indicated that the new airline was nearing a potential purchase deal with Airbus for A350 widebodies.

READ ALSO: Riyadh Air and Saudia to Purchase 78 Boeing 787 Dreamliner Aircraft

In conclusion, Riyadh Air’s acquisition of the IATA code and the unveiling of its livery design mark significant steps in its journey towards becoming a major player in the global aviation industry. With its ambitious plans and strategic positioning, the airline is set to make a significant impact on Saudi Arabia’s economy and the global aviation landscape.

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Air Algérie Airbus Order: A330-900s and A350-1000s Join the Fleet

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AIRBUS

In a substantial stride forward, Air Algérie, Algeria’s flagship airline, recently confirmed an Airbus order for seven widebody aircraft. This move not only underscores its deep-rooted association with Airbus but also paves the way for its ambitious commercial growth.

A330neo and A350-1000: Powering Air Algérie’s Airbus Order

Air Algérie Airbus order
Photo by Abdallahh / Hhussein Abdallah

Central to Air Algérie’s Airbus order are the A330neo and the A350-1000. Incorporating these aircraft into the fleet promises flexibility, efficiency, and lower operating costs, including a 25% reduction in fuel burn per seat.

Both these aircraft are equipped with the award-winning Airspace cabin, known for its superior comfort and ambiance. Increased personal space, expanded overhead bins, state-of-the-art lighting system, and access to the latest in-flight entertainment and connectivity systems are notable features.

Spotlight on A330neo and A350

The A330neo and A350 are prominent members of the Airbus widebody family. The A330neo, powered by Rolls-Royce Trent 7000 engines, boasts a non-stop flight range of 7,200 nm / 13,334 km. As of April 2023, the A330 Family had amassed 1,775 firm orders from 130 global customers, signifying its popularity in the short and medium-haul market.

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Air Algérie Airbus order
Photo by Don-vip

The A350, a modern long-haul aircraft, runs on Rolls-Royce’s innovative Trent XWB engines. Capable of non-stop flights of up to 8,700 nautical miles or 16,100 kilometers, the A350 had garnered 967 firm orders from 54 customers worldwide as of April 2023.

READ ALSO: Airbus A350 Freighter Delivery Delayed to Early 2026

Looking Ahead: Air Algérie’s Airbus Order and Its Impact

This significant Air Algérie Airbus order is a testament to its commitment to growth and improving passenger experience. With the integration of the A330neo and A350-1000, we eagerly anticipate the airline’s expanded services. What new routes are you most excited about? Share your views in the comments section below!

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